主管:中华人民共和国应急管理部
主办:应急管理部天津消防研究所
ISSN 1009-0029  CN 12-1311/TU

消防科学与技术 ›› 2020, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (6): 840-844.

• • 上一篇    下一篇

旧工业建筑改造项目火灾事故应急决策研究

潘梦真1 ,虢成功2 ,袁永福3   

  1. (1. 西安建筑科技大学 管理学院,陕西 西安 710055;2. 同济大学 土木工程学院,上海 200092;3. 西安市建设工程质量安全监督站,陕西 西安 710016)
  • 收稿日期:2020-02-06 出版日期:2020-06-15 发布日期:2020-06-15
  • 通讯作者: 虢成功,男,同济大学土木工程学院博士研究生。
  • 作者简介:潘梦真,女,西安建筑科技大学管理学院硕士研究生,主要从事工程经济与管理方面的研究,陕西省西安市碑林区雁塔路中段 13 号,710055。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目(51808424);中华人民共和国住房与城乡建设部项目(2018-R1-009)

Study on emergency decision of fire accident in old industrial building reconstruction project

PAN Meng-zhen1, GUO Cheng-gong2, YUAN Yong-fu3   

  1. (1.School of Management, Xi'an University of Architecture &Technology, Shaanxi Xi'an 710055, China; 2.School of Civil Engineering, Tongji University,Shanghai 200092, China; 3. Xi'an Construction Engineering Quality and Safety Supervision Station, Shaanxi Xi'an 710016, China)
  • Received:2020-02-06 Online:2020-06-15 Published:2020-06-15

摘要: 为解决旧工业建筑改造中由于火灾事故不确定性高、有效应急措施不力问题,针对以往决策过程比较单一、客观性不足的现象,对改造项目火灾事故进行框架表示,一方面将 C-OWA 算子用于异质信息属性权重的计算以便更为客观地确定满足相似度阈值的相似案例集;另一方面,进行决策属性评价及综合
排序以筛选出相似案例集所对应的最优应急决策,并结合实例说明了该方法的现实意义。

关键词: 旧工业建筑, 改造, 火灾事故, 应急决策, 案例推理, 属性评价, C-OWA 算子

Abstract: In order to solve the problem that the effective emergency measures cannot be produced quickly because of the high uncertainty of fire accident in the renovation project of old industrial buildings,in view of the phenomenon that the decision process is relatively single and the objectivity is insufficient in the previous decision scheme determination research,on the basis of the frame representation of renovation project fire accidents, on the one hand,the C- OWA operator is applied to the calculation of attribute weight of heterogeneous information in order to determine the similar case set satisfying the similarity threshold more objectively.On the other hand,the scheme attribute evaluation and comprehensive ranking are carried out to select the optimal emergency scheme corresponding to the similar case set. The practical significance of this method is illustrated by an example.

Key words: old industrial building, renovation;fire accident, emergency decision- making, case- based reasoning, property evaluation, C-OWA operator

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