主管：中华人民共和国应急管理部
主办：应急管理部天津消防研究所
ISSN 1009-0029  CN 12-1311/TU
消防科学与技术

消防科学与技术 ›› 2020, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (6): 875-878.

• • 上一篇    下一篇

大型商业综合体人员滞留量调查与分析

廖志强   

  1. （塔城地区消防救援支队，新疆 塔城 834700）
  • 收稿日期:2020-01-17 出版日期:2020-06-15 发布日期:2020-06-15
  • 作者简介:廖志强（1978-），男，新疆泽普人，新疆维吾尔自治区塔城地区消防支队支队长，主要从事消防监督管理工作，新疆维吾尔自治区塔城市辽塔新区和美路 119号，834700。

The investigation and analysis of the personnel retention volume in large-scale commercial multifunctional building

LIAO Zhi-qiang   

  1. （Tacheng Area Fire and Rescue Brigade，Xinjiang Tacheng 834700，China）
  • Received:2020-01-17 Online:2020-06-15 Published:2020-06-15

摘要： 基于黑箱理论，以大型商业综合体人员滞留量为研究目标，选择某典型商业综合体为研究对象，对工作日人员滞留量变化进行为期一年的调查研究，利用 MATLAB 软件对大型商业综合体人员滞留量随时间变化关系进行拟合。研究结果表明：工作日人员滞留量呈现先线性增长、后趋于稳定、再快速增长、最后极速衰减的现象。周一至周四人员滞留量基本相等；周五人员滞留量在 17 时 30 分之前与其他工作日基本相等，之后会出现偏高现象。工作日期间人员滞留量峰值均出现在 20 时左右。根据相关数据拟合得到工作日人员滞留量经验公式。

关键词: 商业综合体, 应急管理, 人员滞留量, 黑箱理论

Abstract: Based on the black box theory, focused on the personnel retention volume of large- scale commercial multifunctional building, this paper chooses a typical commercial multifunctional building as the research object, investigated the personnel retention volume in the working days for one year, then, using the MATLAB software to fit the relationship between the retention volume and the time. The results showed that the retention volume of the working days showed a linear growth, then stable, rapid growth, and finally decayed quickly. The amount of retention volume essentially equal between Monday to Thursday. On Friday, the amount of the retention volume was basically equal with other working days before 17:30, after which there will be a high phenomenon. The peak value of the personnel retention occurred at about 20:00 during the normal working day. According to the relevant data fitting ,obtain the personnel retention experience formula of the normal working day.

Key words: commercial multifunctional building, emergency management, retention volume, black box theory

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