主管:中华人民共和国应急管理部
主办:应急管理部天津消防研究所
ISSN 1009-0029  CN 12-1311/TU

消防科学与技术 ›› 2022, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (12): 1727-1731.

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基于集成特征选择的森林火灾风险评估

周文涛1,张 皓2,陈维捷1,周 游1   

  1. (1.长沙理工大学 电气与信息工程学院,湖南 长沙 410114;2.国网山东省电力公司电力科学研究院,山东 济南 250003)
  • 出版日期:2022-12-15 发布日期:2022-12-16
  • 作者简介:作者简介:周文涛(1997- ),男,长沙理工大学电气与信息工程学院硕士研究生,主要从事森林火灾风险分布评估方面的研究,湖南省长沙市(天心区)万家丽南路2段960号工科一号楼,410114。
  • 基金资助:
    长沙理工大学学术学位研究生科研创新项目(CX2020SS56);长沙理工大学研究生实践创新与创业能力提升项目(SJCX202045)

Forest fire risk assessment based on ensemble feature selection

Zhou Wentao1, Zhang Hao2, Chen Weijie1, Zhou You1   

  • Online:2022-12-15 Published:2022-12-16

摘要: 摘 要:采用集成学习的思想,提出了一种基于集成特征选择的森林火灾风险评估方法。以特征选择方法的多样性和独立性为考量,选择了15种特征选择器并利用差异度进行筛选,获得异质选择器集合,进而得到特征子集集合。其次,利用各特征子集分别构建基于BP神经网络的森林火灾风险评估模型,并依据模型准确度筛选林火重要影响因子,构建最优森林火灾风险评估模型。结果表明,该算法准确度为85.96%,具有良好的泛化能力,可实现对森林火灾风险的有效评估。

关键词: 关键词:集成特征选择, 森林火灾, BP神经网络, 风险评估

Abstract: This paper proposes a forest fire risk assessment method based on ensemble feature selection. Considering the diversity and independence of algorithms, 15 kinds of feature select algorithms are selected to form the heterogeneous selectors based on their difference. By using the feature select algorithms, a feature subset set is obtained. And then a forest fire risk assessment model is constructed based on BP neural network by using each feature subset. The important factors of forest fires are selected based on the accuracy of neural network to construct the optimal forest fire risk assessment model. The results show that the accuracy of the algorithm proposed is 85.96%. The proposed model has good generalization ability and can assess forest fire risk effectively.

Key words: ensemble feature selection, forest fire, BP neural network, risk assessment