主管：中华人民共和国应急管理部
主办：应急管理部天津消防研究所
ISSN 1009-0029  CN 12-1311/TU
消防科学与技术

消防科学与技术 ›› 2020, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (12): 1693-1696.

• • 上一篇    下一篇

基于未知测度理论的商场消防安全评价

张爱然1，姚有利1，姜玉婷1，刘永波2   

  1. 1. 山西大同大学煤炭工程学院，山西大同037003；2. 大同市消防救援支队，山西大同037004
  • 出版日期:2020-12-15 发布日期:2020-12-15
  • 作者简介:张爱然（1982-），女，河北肃宁人，山西大同大学煤炭工程学院讲师，硕士，主要从事安全工程方面的教学和科研工作，山西省大同市兴云街，037003。

Fire safety assessment for shopping mall based on uncertainty measurement

ZHANG Ai-ran1, YAO You-li1, JIANG Yu-ting1, LIU yong-bo2   

  1. 1. School of Coal Engineering, Shanxi Datong University,Shanxi Datong 037003, China; 2. Datong fire and Rescue Division, Shanxi Datong 037004, China
  • Online:2020-12-15 Published:2020-12-15

摘要：

为了有效防控商场火灾，提高商场的消防安全管理水平，基于火灾发生、发展及造成损失的不确定性，结合商场建筑结构特点构建了包含4 个单元、27 个评价指标的多因素评价指标体系。对不宜直接采用绝对数值的指标进行了转化，依据层次分析法和未确知测度理论建立评价模型。以大同市云冈区某商场为例进行评价，得出其消防安全等级为“较安全”级别，与实际相符，证明了该模型的有效性，并提出针对性的管理建议。可利用该模型对管辖区域内多个商场进行消防安全现状评价，为辖区内商场的消防安全管理工作提供依据和思路。

关键词: 层次分析法, 未确知测度, 消防安全评价

Abstract:

Based on the uncertain characteristic of the fire occurrence, development and fire loss, a multi- factor evaluation system including 4 units and 27 factors was established to prevent and control fire in shopping malls, and improve the safety management. The indexes not be able to use absolute value directly were transformed. An evaluation model was established according to the analytic hierarchy process and the uncertainty measurement theory. Taking a shopping mall in Datong, Yun'gang as an example, the result showed that its safety level was "relatively safe", which was consistent with the actual situation. This indicated that the model was effective, the management recommendations were very specific. The model can be used to evaluate the fire safety of the shopping malls of the district, and provide scientific support and method for their fire safety management.  

Key words: analytic hierarchy process, uncertainty measurement;fire safety assessment