主管:中华人民共和国应急管理部
主办:应急管理部天津消防研究所
ISSN 1009-0029  CN 12-1311/TU

Fire Science and Technology ›› 2021, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (12): 1784-1787.

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Research on the general aviation forest fire disaster relief decision model

LUO Chen, PAN Wei-jun, ZHU Xin-ping, WANG Xuan   

  1. (College of Air Traffic Management, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Sichuan Guanghan 618307,China)
  • Online:2021-12-15 Published:2021-12-15

Abstract: In view of the need to make decision on general aviation dispatch before forest fire disaster relief, and the characteristics that personal subjective experience of decision-makers and objective observation data of fire site are mixed in the decision evaluation process, the main and objective interwoven action and decision-making process were described by establishing a double membership function. The idea of evidence conflict in the evidence theory was used for reference. The hesitant affiliation function projection method was constructed to carve and solve the problem of hesitant orthogonalization in the actual decision-making process. The log-growth weight model was established to describe the timing characteristics of the information transfer in the forest fire, and the dynamic weight of the information was given accordingly. Finally, an example was given to prove the validity of the algorithm.

Key words: safety management engineering, forest fires, general aviation, disaster relief decisions